“You Have to Be Willing to Change Strategy” – Scott Sheffield, Author of “From Tehran to the Permian”

We were thrilled to host our good friend Scott Sheffield in advance of his new book, From Tehran to the Permian: Leading the Shale Revolution and My Fight for Energy Independence, publishing on October 6th (pre-order available here). Scott’s career spans more than four decades, including serving as CEO of Parker & Parsley and later Pioneer Natural Resources, where he helped lead the company through multiple industry cycles and played an important role in the development of the Permian Basin and the U.S. shale revolution. Scott’s new book traces that journey from his formative years living in Tehran through his decades in the energy industry, sharing the leadership lessons, challenges, and experiences that shaped him along the way. We were honored to host Scott and hear his reflections on his career and his latest perspectives across the energy landscape.

In our conversation, we cover the many lessons and experiences captured in From Tehran to the Permian. Scott shares his perspective on culture and leadership, including his emphasis on mutual respect, accountability, efficiency, and maintaining a family feel as Pioneer grew. He reflects on navigating multiple industry downturns, the importance of maintaining low leverage and financial flexibility, building strong management teams and boards, and learning to listen and empower others. We discuss Pioneer’s evolution from its roots in the Spraberry to international exploration and ultimately back to the Permian, as well as Scott’s willingness to change strategy as markets and opportunities evolved.

We explore the evolution of the broader oil and gas industry, including the maturation of U.S. shale, the opportunities and challenges of international exploration, Scott’s long history with Australia and the Beetaloo Basin, and his perspectives on shareholder activism, capital discipline, industry consolidation, and the future of public versus private independents. Scott also reflects on his experiences in Iran and shares his perspectives on Iran and Venezuela, as well as his experience with the FTC following ExxonMobil’s acquisition of Pioneer.

We touch on today’s energy landscape, including Scott’s role in helping lift the U.S. crude oil export ban in 2015, his thoughts on the potential implications of restricting diesel exports, and the importance of natural gas infrastructure as power demand grows. Scott also shares observations from his time on the Williams board and the increasingly important intersection of natural gas, power generation, LNG, AI, and data centers. Throughout the conversation, we return to many of the themes that define Scott’s career and book: culture, adaptability, financial discipline, great people, and a willingness to listen and evolve.

To start the show, Mike Bradley highlighted Pioneer Natural Resources’ impressive long-term value creation, from its formation in 1997 through its acquisition by ExxonMobil in 2024. Turning to fixed income, he noted that Treasury yields moved higher this week, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising ~10 basis points to ~5.3%, near a 25-year high. Investors are now focused on Wednesday’s PCE Price Index report, with a stronger-than-expected reading potentially reinforcing expectations for additional rate hikes.

WTI is trading at ~$89/bbl, down ~$4/bbl this week and ~$11/bbl over the past two weeks, driven in part by continued oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and the restart of Saudi Arabia’s East-West Pipeline, restoring ~3mmbpd of capacity. Mike noted that a key uncertainty for refined product markets remains whether the Trump Administration will move forward with a temporary diesel export ban.

In equities, the DJIA and S&P 500 are both down ~1% this week. With the third quarter drawing to a close, Mike highlighted a significant divergence in sector performance, with Energy up ~15% for the quarter while Utilities declined ~15%. Looking ahead, he noted that further moderation in crude oil and diesel prices could ease inflationary pressures, help stabilize interest rates, and provide a more constructive backdrop for equity markets. Arjun Murti also joined and reflected on knowing Scott from their first meeting during Arjun’s time at Goldman Sachs to their more recent work together at Columbia University’s Center on Global Energy Policy.