SoH Crisis Drags On, But Some Thematic Clarity Emerging

As the Strait of Hormuz (SoH) Crisis completes its third month and on-again/off-again peace talks drag on, we are starting to see the outlines of various structural themes emerging, and, as importantly, some that are not.

A New Era of Geopolitical Super Vol

As we teased in last week’s video, we want to expand on the evolution of our Super Vol commodity macro framework to explicitly rebrand it Geopolitical Super Vol.

Peace Sells, We Are Buying

For the past month we have been recording these videos several days in advance of publication and repeating the line that we hope peace will have been declared and the Strait reopened by the time of Saturday publication.

CERAWeek 2026 Takeaways

We spent the past week in Houston at the always great CERAWeek conference hosted by S&P Global.